The Voice of Business, Industry & the Professions Since 1942
North Carolina's largest business group proudly serves as the state chamber of commerce

   


January 2005
Executive Voices

Want 5,000 Jobs?
Deregulating telecommunications will spur innovation and boost our economy

By Krista Tillman


North Carolina has an opportunity to gain 5,000 new jobs and hundreds of millions in additional revenue — all without spending a penny. That’s the assessment of a study by the U.S. Chamber of Commerce, NCCBI’s national counterpart.

Written by a team of nationally-known economists, the study examines the potential impact of updating telecommunications policy in light of ongoing technological changes. It concludes that just as telecom was responsible for a sizeable amount of economic growth in the late 1990s, it could do so again.

Telecommunications is one of the country’s most powerful economic engines. In North Carolina, telecommunications service providers employ more than 20,000 people. Each dollar of the industry’s $12 billion infrastructure investment yields nearly $3 in economic output. North Carolina also is home to many major equipment suppliers, including Cisco, Corning, Nortel, and IBM.

Over the years, this growth engine has provided much of the horsepower for North Carolina’s drive to economic prosperity. According to a 2004 report by Georgia State University, a state’s communications infrastructure is one of the top three factors a company examines in choosing where to build facilities – and North Carolina’s communications infrastructure has long been first-rate.

Yet, at both the federal and state level, the engine needs a tune up. National investment in telecommunications networks has fallen 67 percent since 2000. That’s $760 billion in fiber optics, switches and equipment not being created, bought and placed in service. As a result, some 500,000 jobs have been lost in the telecommunications sector nationally, including 15,000 in North Carolina.

The economic downturn bears only a small part of the blame. The primary culprit is that state and federal regulations have been unable to keep pace with technology. Ten years ago North Carolina legislators recognized the building convergence of technologies. Understanding the implications and potential consumer benefit, they changed state law to permit local competition. Congress followed suit in 1996. Today, nearly 100 new competing companies serve North Carolina, with another 100 authorized to begin.

Technologies that barely existed in 1984 are now an integral part of daily life. Nearly half of all telecommunications “lines” are wireless. DSL, cable modems and satellite reach both rural and urban areas with high-speed Internet service. Voice over Internet Protocol (VoIP) technology, which transmits calls via the Internet, is the fastest-growing segment of the industry.

Through new products and consumer lifestyles, technology reshaped the communications industry virtually overnight, outstripping the ability of regulation to keep pace. Consequently, traditional companies remain saddled with a historical legacy of regulation while new competitors and technologies have little government oversight.

As the U.S. Chamber study puts it “regulators are regulating for a world that no longer exists, one of limited telecommunications technologies and limited competition in the field.”

When government finally decided to step aside in the wireless industry and let the markets work, innovative products emerged, competition flourished, consumers benefited and the economy prospered. It can happen again.

The study presents six recommendations, some requiring legislative action. If adopted, these recommendations “will generate economically productive investment, produce efficient, price-lowering competition, and stimulate innovation in advanced services.”

 The authors conclude that overhauling telecom regulations would create 212,000 new U.S. jobs, including 4,714 in North Carolina alone. They project these changes would stimulate $58 billion in new capital investment nationally over five years, generating some $634 billion of additional goods and services and leading to even more new jobs.

Regulators’ decisions ripple through the economy. Changes in regulation impact companies’ investment decisions that impact buying decisions that impact jobs. North Carolina saw this first-hand last fall when the Federal Communications Commission ruled that local telephone companies, such as BellSouth and Verizon, don’t have to resell to competitors at cost the new fiber optic investments the established companies make in their networks.

The FCC’s ruling removed uncertainty that had been hanging over the industry. Within days, BellSouth, SBC and Verizon announced billion-dollar plans to install more fiber in their local networks. Those announcements translated into increased demand for fiber optic production at Corning facilities in Hickory and Wilmington.

North Carolina legislators have long used forward-looking solutions to encourage business to locate and remain here. The chamber’s study offers a way to continue that tradition and stimulate thousands of new North Carolina jobs – without costing taxpayers a cent.

As the U.S. Chamber study concludes: “In the final analysis policymakers will have to choose between two completely opposite approaches.

“Simply put, either this nation can continue to live with a regulatory system that regulators are comfortable with – but which has created such great uncertainty that investment in telecommunications has literally dried up and cost hundreds of thousands of jobs – or this nation can take a risk by abandoning the existing system for one that allows consumers, investors, and innovators to determine the path forward.”

North Carolinians deserve the opportunity to enjoy healthy, vibrant economic growth. Let’s let a market-based economy and new technologies lead the way.


Krista Tillman of Charlotte is president of North Carolina operations for BellSouth

 


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